When Will AI Replace Installateurs et Techniciens de systèmes solaires thermiques ?

AI automation is projected to impact approximately 30% of Solar Thermal Installer and Technician tasks by 2036, mainly affecting large-scale, standardized installations. Installers focusing on standardized residential solar thermal systems in new construction could face earlier automation impacts around 2033.

The early wave of automation will likely target routine tasks in new builds. However, the complexity of integrating with existing HVAC and the need for on-site safety judgment will slow widespread adoption in many areas.

By mid-to-late automation waves, while 30% of tasks might be affected, the core human elements of this job will remain critical. Specialized roles in commercial installations and custom retrofits will see continued demand beyond 2040.

Installers working on highly standardized residential solar thermal systems in new construction are most susceptible to earlier automation impacts, potentially around 2033. This is due to the predictability of such projects.

Professionals specializing in commercial installations, custom retrofit work on existing buildings, hybrid heating systems, and essential maintenance services are in strong demand and are projected to remain highly valued through 2040 and beyond. These roles require adaptability and problem-solving.

Focus on developing and highlighting irreplaceable human skills: expert safety judgment for rooftop work, adept custom integration with diverse HVAC systems, and nuanced client consultation for system design. These are key to long-term job security.

Embrace roles that require adaptability and complex problem-solving, such as commercial installations, custom retrofits, and maintenance. Continuous learning in hybrid heating systems will also enhance your value and resilience against automation.