When Will AI Replace Aide-soignant ?

AI and robotics are projected to automate around 35% of orderly tasks by 2032. This impact will unfold in waves, with early disruptions for entry-level roles. Entry-level orderlies in highly automated facilities may face displacement as early as 2028.

The initial impact, starting around 2028, will primarily affect orderlies performing routine tasks. Autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) and automated guided vehicles (AGVs) are already capable of handling material transport, a core function for orderlies.

The mid-wave transformation, extending through 2035, will see AI further integrated. Specialized orderlies in critical areas like emergency departments and operating rooms will remain in demand, but the overall landscape will shift towards more complex coordination and patient-facing care.

Entry-level orderlies performing highly routine and repetitive tasks are most at risk of automation. Those in facilities with advanced technological adoption may see their roles significantly altered or reduced as early as 2028.

Specialized orderlies in high-demand areas such as emergency departments, operating rooms, and direct patient care roles are expected to remain in demand through 2035. The aging population in developed countries will continue to drive overall demand for healthcare support workers, ensuring roles that require human empathy and complex coordination remain vital.

You have approximately 3-6 years to upskill and adapt. Focus on developing specialized healthcare skills. Consider roles like nursing assistant, surgical technician, or patient care technician to leverage your existing experience in a more resilient capacity.

Embrace roles that emphasize higher-touch patient care and complex coordination tasks. Developing skills in areas less susceptible to automation, such as critical thinking, communication, and empathy, will be crucial for long-term career stability in the evolving healthcare landscape.