The AI Impact Timeline: What to Expect
The impact of AI on optometrists will unfold in waves. By 2028, approximately 35% of tasks will see automation. Junior optometrists in retail settings performing high-volume routine exams are most vulnerable, with potential displacement as early as 2026. AI kiosks could handle 60-70% of standard vision tests in these environments.
The early wave, starting around 2026, will see AI kiosks and automated refraction devices taking over routine prescription calculations and basic screenings in high-volume retail chains like LensCrafters and Walmart Vision. AI-powered retinal imaging systems, such as IDx-DR and Google DeepMind, already demonstrate 90%+ accuracy in diagnosing conditions like diabetic retinopathy.
By 2028, the mid-wave of AI integration will see further automation of diagnostic screenings. While routine vision testing becomes increasingly automated, specialized areas of optometry will remain human-centric. The profession is splitting into commodity vision testing, which is highly automatable, and complex clinical eye care, where human expertise remains essential.