When Will AI Replace Responsables généraux et des opérations ?

AI's influence on General and Operations Managers will unfold over the next decade. Junior managers focused on day-to-day execution are likely to see the first impacts as early as 2028, with automation affecting tasks like reporting and scheduling. By 2032, approximately 45% of all tasks within this role could be automated, primarily those involving routine decision-making and operational analysis. The World Economic Forum anticipates only 15% automation exposure by 2030 for management roles, highlighting a more gradual shift compared to other professions.

The initial wave of AI impact will target routine operational tasks. Expect AI to streamline processes in areas such as generating operational reports, optimizing schedules, and handling straightforward decision-making processes. This early phase, starting around 2028 for junior roles, will free up managers from repetitive duties, demanding a shift towards more strategic oversight.

As AI capabilities mature, the mid-wave transformation will see more complex operational aspects being influenced. While core leadership functions remain safe, the integration of AI tools will redefine how operational strategies are developed and implemented. This phase extends beyond 2032, with senior executives demonstrating strong AI literacy able to leverage these tools for greater strategic advantage.

Junior managers whose roles are heavily focused on operational execution are at the forefront of AI's impact, with potential changes beginning as early as 2028. These individuals may find their day-to-day responsibilities shifting as AI takes over tasks related to reporting, scheduling, and routine decision-making. The key differentiator for survival will be their ability to adapt and upskill towards more strategic and human-centric functions.

Conversely, senior General and Operations Managers with strong AI literacy and proven strategic expertise are exceptionally well-positioned for the future. The World Economic Forum's research indicates that management and leadership roles are among the most durable, with only 15% automation exposure by 2030. These roles, characterized by vision-setting, stakeholder management, and complex problem-solving, are highly resilient and can command median salaries exceeding $100,000, with opportunities extending well beyond 2036.

You have an estimated 6-10 years to adapt to AI's evolving role in your profession. The crucial step is to view AI not as a threat, but as a strategic multiplier. Focus on developing your leadership maturity and embracing AI literacy. This proactive approach will enable you to leverage AI tools effectively, enhancing your strategic capabilities and ensuring your continued relevance in the evolving job market.

To thrive, cultivate your strategic leadership skills, focusing on vision-setting, stakeholder management, and complex problem-solving – areas AI cannot replicate. Enhance your AI literacy by exploring how AI can support your decision-making and operational oversight. By integrating AI as a tool to augment your capabilities, you can extend your career well beyond 2036 and even see salary growth in this resilient field.