When Will AI Replace Électriciens ?

AI's impact on electricians will unfold gradually. By 2036, an estimated 30% of tasks are projected to be automated, with the primary focus on new residential construction and large commercial projects. This automation will be more pronounced in routine tasks.

The early wave of automation, impacting around 2032, will primarily affect electricians engaged in routine rough-in wiring for new construction. This segment of the job involves more predictable and repetitive tasks that are easier for AI and robotics to handle.

Looking further, the mid-wave transformation will see AI integration in more complex scenarios. However, the core problem-solving and safety-critical aspects of electrical work will remain largely human-driven, ensuring continued demand for skilled professionals.

Electricians involved in routine tasks, such as basic rough-in wiring for new constructions, will experience the earliest impact of AI automation, potentially around 2032. These are the tasks that are more standardized and predictable.

Conversely, electricians specializing in troubleshooting, repair, industrial work, or custom installations are exceptionally safe. Their roles require nuanced problem-solving in unpredictable environments and a deep understanding of safety regulations, ensuring extremely high demand through 2040 and beyond. Your expertise in code knowledge, problem-solving, and safety-critical work makes your role highly resilient.

To thrive in the face of AI, focus on developing and highlighting your unique human skills. Deep knowledge of electrical codes, such as the NEC which updates every three years, is crucial. Your ability to problem-solve in unstructured environments, where every building is different, is irreplaceable.

Emphasize your role in safety-critical work that requires legal accountability. This combination of physical dexterity, critical thinking, and adherence to complex regulations is a significant barrier to full automation. Continuous learning and specialization in areas less prone to automation will further secure your career trajectory for the next decade and beyond.