When Will AI Replace Mécanicien et Technicien automobile ?

The timeline for AI's impact on automotive service technicians is unfolding rapidly. Technicians specializing in traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) maintenance, such as oil changes and transmission work, face the earliest disruption. These roles could see significant impact as soon as 2028. The broader transformation, driven by AI diagnostics and EV integration, will continue to evolve through the mid-late stages of the decade.

The initial wave of automation primarily affects routine ICE maintenance. Shops focused on oil changes and transmission specialists are particularly vulnerable. As EVs become more prevalent, the need for these specific ICE-related services will diminish significantly, creating an immediate need for technicians to pivot their skill sets.

The mid-wave transformation will see AI diagnostics becoming more integrated into vehicle repair. While EVs require less routine maintenance (50-70% less than ICE vehicles), complex diagnostics for high-voltage systems, battery health, and software issues will become paramount. This shift necessitates a new set of specialized skills for technicians.

Technicians heavily focused on routine maintenance for internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles are at the highest risk of immediate impact. This includes roles like oil change specialists and transmission repair experts. Their core tasks are directly diminishing with the rise of EVs, which require significantly less maintenance in these areas.

Technicians who adapt and specialize in electric vehicle (EV) technologies are positioned for continued success. Securing certifications like ASE A9 EV/Hybrid, focusing on high-voltage systems, battery diagnostics, and advanced software troubleshooting will extend career longevity. These specialized roles will remain in demand and may even see increased compensation as the industry evolves.

To navigate this evolving landscape, technicians must proactively upskill and adapt. Prioritize obtaining EV certifications, such as the ASE A9 EV/Hybrid certification, to signal expertise in new vehicle technologies. Focus on developing skills in high-voltage systems, battery diagnostics, and complex software troubleshooting.

Embrace continuous learning and stay ahead of technological advancements. The window for adaptation is estimated to be between 3 to 7 years, depending on your current specialization. By investing in the right training and certifications, you can transform your career and thrive in the future of automotive service.